KAZALCI OKOLJA

Key message
Neutral

Slovenia is a net importer of food, as domestic production does not satisfy the total domestic needs (especially for vegetables, fruit, potatoes and pig meat). The long-term trend indicates that the self-sufficiency rate is higher and more stable for animal products (milk, eggs, beef and poultry meat), except for pig meat and honey, where the self-sufficiency rate is noticeably decreasing. In the analysed period, surpluses occurred only in the domestic production of milk, beef, poultry meat, in some years in eggs and honey, and in recent years in the production of grain maize. Meanwhile, the self-sufficiency in crops is generally lower and varies from year to year (influence of harvests). In the long term, only the self-sufficiency rate for cereals is increasing, including barley, rye and grain maize, while the self-sufficiency rate for wheat shows a slightly downward trend.


The self-sufficiency rate is defined as the extent to which a country’s domestic production is able to meet the total domestic demand (including food, feed, and industrial consumption). A self-sufficiency rate of less than 100% means a deficit that must be covered by imports, and a self-sufficiency rate of more than 100% means a surplus in domestic supply.

The indicator shows the level of self-sufficiency for the following agricultural products in Slovenia: meat, by main types and total, eggs, potatoes, cereals, by main types and total, vegetables, fruit, milk, and honey. Self-sufficiency rates are shown only at the level of individual agricultural products, but not at the aggregated food level. Available quantities for human consumption per capita by agricultural products and a comparison of self-sufficiency rates for cereals between Slovenia and some countries are also presented.


Charts

Figure KM29-1: Self-sufficiency rate of agricultural products in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024; calculations AIS

Show data
Meat, total[%] Eggs[%] Cereals[%] Potatoes[%] Vegetables[%] Fruit[%] Milk, total[%] Honey[%]
2000 92 95 48 83 47 66 113 112
2001 100 98 46 79 39 55 117 105
2002 97 97 63 85 42 59 115 105
2003 97 104 38 64 37 56 116 97
2004 92 103 63 86 43 58 114 102
2005 88 94 60 74 45 49 113 75
2006 88 97 50 60 39 52 120 81
2007 93 95 54 70 34 49 120 78
2008 91 95 64 57 36 38 115 81
2009 83 93 57 63 37 38 114 85
2010 84 93 57 63 30 47 116 74
2011 85 96 71 63 37 46 120 85
2012 83 92 70 55 34 37 117 51
2013 82 91 55 46 33 43 118 82
2014 80 90 77 67 38 42 120 20
2015 74 93 72 59 40 47 125 71
2016 76 95 74 55 42 32 132 59
2017 81 90 63 50 38 15 134 45
2018 81 96 69 48 41 47 129 79
2019 81 95 75 47 43 30 127 44
2020 83 95 88 60 48 36 133 67
2021 85 97 84 44 43 14 135 15
2022 86 94 72 36 39 29 134 90
2023* 83 95 80 40 33 16 131 13
Figure KM29-2: Self-sufficiency rate of cereals in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024; calculations AIS

Show data
Wheat[%] Barley[%] Rye[%] Maize[%]
2000 63 30 7 48
2001 58 33 18 45
2002 63 34 17 75
2003 47 24 21 38
2004 54 45 42 77
2005 48 51 36 72
2006 44 45 17 57
2007 47 53 22 58
2008 55 57 19 72
2009 48 53 22 63
2010 49 54 31 61
2011 55 68 43 82
2012 65 81 50 72
2013 47 62 75 58
2014 59 72 73 91
2015 52 73 61 87
2016 52 74 47 92
2017 46 74 61 72
2018 41 68 60 89
2019 47 74 83 96
2020 57 83 76 114
2021 57 74 57 109
2022 51 79 81 87
2023* 48 71 82 112
Figure KM29-3: Self-sufficiency rate of meat in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024, calculations AIS

Show data
Beef and veal[%] Pigmeat[%] Poultrymeat[%]
2000 96 77 110
2001 119 81 113
2002 117 78 110
2003 107 86 114
2004 96 80 115
2005 93 70 112
2006 101 70 108
2007 101 74 114
2008 103 70 113
2009 98 55 109
2010 106 52 112
2011 110 50 113
2012 112 46 109
2013 107 40 117
2014 106 39 111
2015 99 35 103
2016 108 34 107
2017 110 38 109
2018 109 38 109
2019 103 40 111
2020 107 40 111
2021 111 43 112
2022 116 41 108
2023* 106 37 109
Figure KM29-4: Available quantity for human consumption per capita in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024; calculations AIS

Show data
Meat, total (carcass weight equivalent) [kg] Eggs [kg] Cereals [kg] Potatoes [kg] Vegetables [kg] Fruit [kg] Milk, total (raw milk equivalent) [kg] Honey [kg]
2000 88.51 10.81 129.76 90.15 78.54 104.49 233.20 1.04
2001 93 10.10 135.20 79.60 73.40 79.10 227.90 1.20
2002 88 9.60 126.20 79.80 78.70 114.90 234.60 1.20
2003 99.20 6.90 123.60 72.50 81.50 100.10 228.70 1
2004 98.60 6.20 119.50 75.80 89 128.30 235.80 1.20
2005 97.30 6.50 124 76.80 91.30 125.10 235.30 1.10
2006 94.20 7 125.50 78.90 95.60 124.40 218.90 1.40
2007 94.70 8.90 123.90 81.40 90.30 131.70 223.60 0.90
2008 96.60 10 119.20 77.50 101 151.70 234 1
2009 94.10 10.20 108.70 72 103.20 148.50 230 1.10
2010 93.70 10.20 121.10 70.30 91.80 135.20 223.70 1.10
2011 89.50 10.10 118.10 66.40 97.10 129.30 218.90 1.40
2012 88.20 9.10 115.40 63.30 95.30 113 225.90 1
2013 82.20 10.30 112.30 59.40 98.30 129.40 218.60 1.40
2014 85 9.80 119.30 62.40 103.90 131.10 219.90 1.10
2015 88.30 11.10 120.90 68.30 109.90 134.20 218.70 1.40
2016 94.20 10.70 121.40 68.50 113.40 122.70 213.20 1.10
2017 93.10 11.50 121 68 114 121.60 209.90 0.90
2018 92.60 10.90 123.30 66.50 111.40 152.50 215.50 1.10
2019 90.80 11.70 120.40 62 117.50 127.90 214 0.70
2020 87.70 10.40 116.30 63.70 118.90 128.90 206 0.90
2021 89 10.80 116.60 63.20 118.50 108.70 206.10 0.60
2022 87.10 11 115.70 71.60 104.30 133.60 204.30 1.30
2023* 86.90 11.10 112.30 74 101.10 131.60 202.70 1
Figure KM29-5: Available quantity of cereals for human consumption per capita in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024; calculations AIS

Show data
Wheat[kg] Barley[kg] Rye[kg] Maize[kg]
2000 101 2.10 5.60 19.10
2001 111 0.70 0.80 20.60
2002 103.40 0.70 1.20 19.10
2003 100 0.50 2.80 18.10
2004 97.10 0.60 2.80 16.60
2005 100.10 0.60 4.30 15.80
2006 101.90 0.60 4.90 15
2007 97.60 0.90 4.40 17.70
2008 94.60 0.60 4.40 16.40
2009 86 0.70 4.40 15.30
2010 100.40 0.80 3.80 13.40
2011 97.70 0.80 3 14.20
2012 95.30 0.70 2.80 14.20
2013 92.50 0.70 2.90 13.30
2014 102 0.80 3.70 9.20
2015 103.20 0.80 2.70 10.40
2016 103 0.80 2.90 11.40
2017 101.30 0.70 2.90 11.40
2018 103.80 0.90 3.20 11.30
2019 100.60 0.90 2.30 13.10
2020 98.80 0.90 1.50 11.50
2021 100.60 1 1.20 9.90
2022 100.60 1.10 1.20 9
2023* 98 1.10 0.80 9
Figure KM29-6: Available quantity of meat for human consumption (carcass weight equivalent) per capita in Slovenia, 2000–2023
Sources:

SORS, 2024, calculations AIS

Show data
Beef and veal[kg] Pigmeat[kg] Poultrymeat[kg]
2000 20.60 38.10 24.80
2001 20.20 41.30 26.10
2002 19.20 39.90 24.10
2003 23.60 42.40 24.90
2004 23.40 44.60 23.10
2005 23.60 44.20 24.70
2006 20.70 45.20 23
2007 21.10 42.10 26.10
2008 21.30 43.20 26.70
2009 20.50 40.50 28.10
2010 19.90 41.60 27.70
2011 19.80 39.60 26.20
2012 18.90 37.70 27.70
2013 18.60 35.50 24.80
2014 18.10 36.80 27
2015 19 37 28.90
2016 20 40.80 30
2017 20.80 37.60 31.10
2018 19.80 37.90 31.20
2019 20.10 36.50 30.60
2020 19.60 32.70 31.50
2021 20.60 32.80 30.90
2022 20.20 30 32.40
2023* 19.70 30.20 33.20
Figure KM29-7: Cereal self-sufficiency rate in Slovenia and other countries, 2021–2022
Sources:

Eurostat, 2024; calculations AIS

Show data
2021 [%] 2022 [%]
Lithuania 410 374
Latvia 333 348
Estonia 243 286
Bulgaria 301 278
Hungary 164 194
Croatia 232 166
Slovakia 186 154
Romania 135 146
Poland 78 124
Germany 112 110
Finland 162 106
Turkey 80 92
Slovenia 89 75
Greece 77 67
Italy 54 51
Ireland 53 46
Portugal 19 18

Goals

Ensuring food security and the highest possible level of self-sufficiency is the first goal of Slovenian agricultural policy, as stated in the Agriculture Act. According to the Strategic plan on implementing the resolution on strategic guidelines for agricultural and food industry development by 2020, increasing the level of self-sufficiency by year 2020 was set as a general goal for the following agricultural products and product groups: wheat, fodder grains, pulses, oilseeds, potatoes, vegetables (fresh and processed), pig meat, cheese, cottage cheese and honey. Only two goals were defined more specifically, namely:

  • increasing the self-sufficiency rate for vegetables to 50% by 2020,
  • increasing the self-sufficiency rate for pig meat to 70% by 2020.

The current strategic guidelines do not include specific goals for increasing food self-sufficiency in Slovenia. The 2023–2027 Strategic Plan and the Resolution "Our food, rural areas and natural resources after 2021" only emphasize achieving and maintaining an adequate level of food self-sufficiency and ensuring food security through the stable production of safe, high-quality and consumer-accessible food.


Countries can achieve food security through two mechanisms: self-sufficiency or imports. Self-sufficiency indicates the extent to which the country is able to provide the necessary quantities of food through domestic production. This is very important in ensuring the availability of food to the population, especially in conditions of disrupted international trade and strong price fluctuations in foreign markets. Self-sufficiency presents not only the basis for food security, but also allows the use of own production resources, maintains rural employment and cultivation, reduces poverty, and is important for human health and the environment. A higher level of self-sufficiency reduces the need for food imports, which also contributes to the reduction in emissions due to shorter transport distances (Revizijsko poročilo …, 2021).

Slovenia is among the countries that are net importers of food, as domestic production does not fully cover the total domestic needs. The level of self-sufficiency for animal products is generally higher than the level of self-sufficiency for crops, while the lowest levels are on average recorded for vegetables, fruit, potatoes and pig meat. Self-sufficiency rates in crop production are characterized by significant year-to-year fluctuations due to more or less abundant harvests (total amount of crops), which are also strongly influenced by extreme weather conditions, such as drought, frost, etc. (Zeleno poročilo ..., 2022). Global megatrends show that the increasingly variable climate in the future may negatively affect food production in terms of quantity and quality, thereby increasing Slovenia's dependence on the world markets (Sadauskis et al., 2019).

Self-sufficiency rates, as well as per capita available quantities of agricultural products in Slovenia are compared between the period before EU accession (2000–2003), the post-accession period (2004–2018) and the most recent years (2019–2023). Prior to EU accession, Slovenia was on average self-sufficient in milk and honey, and almost completely self-sufficient in eggs and meat. Of the individual types of meat, self-sufficiency was achieved in beef and poultry meat, while the self-sufficiency rate of pig meat was 81%. Average self-sufficiency in potatoes was also high (78%), while for other agricultural products like cereals, vegetables and fruit it did not exceed 60%. In the post-accession period (2004–2018), the self-sufficiency rate of meat, potatoes, fruit and honey decreased more noticeably. In the case of potatoes and fruit, the reason is in reduced production volumes and extreme weather conditions, while self-sufficiency in meat was lower due to the significant decline in pig meat production. The latter declined due to slow structural changes, weak competitiveness, and pressure on prices (cheaper imports of foreign pig meat). A year after accession to the EU, a reform of the EU sugar market was adopted, which led to the closure of the sugar factory in Slovenia. Since then, no sugar has been produced in Slovenia, while before the adoption of reform, the self-sufficiency rate was on average 50%. In recent years (2019–2023), Slovenia had surpluses in milk, beef, poultry meat and grain maize production. A high level of self-sufficiency was on average also achieved in eggs (95%). The largest deficit in production, which had to be covered by imports, was in fruit (self-sufficiency: 25%), vegetables (41%), potatoes (45%), pig meat (40%) and honey (46%). Compared to the pre-accession period (2000–2003), the level of self-sufficiency has decreased significantly in recent years for meat, potatoes, fruit and honey. Self-sufficiency in honey (–59%) and pig meat (–40%) has decreased the most, while it has remained at similar levels for vegetables, beef, poultry meat and eggs. Only for cereals (+31%) and milk (+17%), the level of self-sufficiency was significantly higher. In the case of cereals, an upward trend can be observed throughout the analysed period for all the main types (rye, barley and maize), except for wheat.

A comparison of self-sufficiency rates for cereals between Slovenia and the 15 European Union member states and Turkey shows large differences between countries. In 2022, the highest self-sufficiency rates were achieved in the Baltic states: Lithuania (374%), Latvia (348%) and Estonia (286%), followed by Bulgaria (278%) and Croatia (194%). Romania, Slovakia, Poland, Finland, Germany and Hungary were also self-sufficient. Among the analysed countries, Slovenia ranked in the bottom third (13th place) in terms of self-sufficiency in cereals (self-sufficiency rate 75%). Lower self-sufficiency levels than in Slovenia were in 2022 in Greece (67%), Ireland (51%), Italy (46%) and Portugal (18%).

Like self-sufficiency rates, the available quantities of agricultural products for human consumption in Slovenia fluctuate from year to year. The upward trend is the most evident for vegetables, as in the period of the last few years (2019–2023), compared to the pre-accession period (2000–2003), available quantities per capita increased by 44%, namely from 78 to 112 kg. The available quantities of fruit (+27%; to 126 kg per capita) and eggs (+18%; to 11 kg per capita) also increased. On the other hand, the available quantities of potatoes decreased the most in relative terms (–17%; from 81 to 67 kg per capita), while they decreased for milk the most in quantitative terms. In the period of the last few years, each inhabitant of Slovenia had on average 207 kg of milk available in all forms, which is 24 kg less than in the pre-accession period. The available quantities of cereals for food are also decreasing, amounting to an average of 116 kg per capita, which is 12 kg less than in the pre-accession period. Average available quantities of meat for human consumption have decreased slightly between the two analysed periods (–4%; to 88 kg per capita), mainly due to smaller quantities of pig meat. On the other hand, available quantities of poultry meat have shown an increasing trend, averaging about 32 kg per capita in recent years.

Presented self-sufficiency data show that Slovenia has not met the goals set in the Strategic plan on implementing the resolution on strategic guidelines for agricultural and food industry development by 2020. The self-sufficiency in vegetables was on average 41% in the recent period and has not yet exceeded 50%, while the level of self-sufficiency in pig meat has remained at an average of 40% and is far below the set goal of 70%.

Slovenia faces many challenges in achieving an adequate level of food self-sufficiency, such as lower productivity of agricultural sector, poor income situation of farms, aging rural population, abandonment of farming, overgrowth and permanent loss of agricultural land, a large share of less favoured areas, climatic and environmental challenges. It will be crucial for the country's self-sufficiency to maintain the extent of agricultural land and its production potential, improve the income situation of farms, as well as invest in agricultural infrastructure and adapt to climate change. The main agricultural policy instrument for achieving these goals is income support for farmers (including young farmers) and payments for natural or other constraints (Poročilo ..., 2023).


Methodology

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