[SE02] Demographic changes
[SE02] Demographic changes
Key message
The population in Slovenia is increasing and in 2020 amounted to 2,096 million. Natural increase has decreased (-5.2 persons per 1000 population). On the other hand the net migration of 6.2 persons per 1000 population ranks Slovenia 4th among the EU-27 Member States. Projections for the future show that by 2100 the population of Slovenia will decrease sharply (to 1,888,364).
Charts
Figure SE02-1: Population development in Slovenia, 1995–2020
Sources:
SI-STAT, 2021 (9. 11. 2021)
| Population[1000] | Live births[1000] | Deaths[1000] | Immigrants from abroad[1000] | Emigrants to abroad[1000] | Natural increase[per 1000 inhabit.] | Net migration from abroad [per 1000 inhabit.] | Total fertility rate[per 1000 inhabit.] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 1989.50 | 19 | 19 | 5.90 | 3.40 | 0 | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| 2000 | 1987.80 | 18.20 | 18.60 | 6.20 | 3.60 | -0.40 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| 2005 | 1997.60 | 18.20 | 18.80 | 15 | 8.60 | -0.70 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| 2006 | 2003.40 | 18.90 | 18.20 | 20 | 13.70 | 0.80 | 3.10 | 1.30 |
| 2007 | 2010.40 | 19.80 | 18.60 | 29.20 | 14.90 | 1.20 | 7.10 | 1.40 |
| 2008 | 2025.90 | 21.80 | 18.30 | 30.70 | 12.10 | 3.50 | 9.20 | 1.50 |
| 2010 | 2046.98 | 22.34 | 18.61 | 15.42 | 15.94 | 3.73 | -0.52 | 1.57 |
| 2012 | 2055.50 | 21.94 | 19.26 | 15.02 | 14.38 | 2.68 | 0.64 | 1.58 |
| 2014 | 2061.09 | 20.64 | 19.83 | 13.85 | 14.34 | 2.28 | -0.49 | 1.58 |
| 2016 | 2064.19 | 20.35 | 19.69 | 16.62 | 15.57 | 0.66 | 1.05 | 1.58 |
| 2018 | 2066.80 | 19.59 | 20.49 | 28.46 | 13.53 | -0.90 | 14.93 | 1.61 |
| 2019 | 2080.90 | 19.30 | 20.60 | 31.30 | 15.10 | -1.26 | 16.21 | 1.61 |
| 2020 | 2095.86 | 18.77 | 24.02 | 36.11 | 17.75 | -5.25 | 18.37 | 1.61 |
Figure SE02-2: Population of Slovenia by age, 1995-2020
Sources:
SI-STAT, 2021 (9. 11. 2021)
| 0-14 years[num.] | 15-64 years[num.] | 65 + years[num.] | 0-14 years[%] | 15-64 years[%] | 65 + years[%] | Ageing index[index] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 368578 | 1380754 | 240145 | 18.50 | 69.40 | 12.10 | 67 |
| 2000 | 320374 | 1391981 | 275400 | 16.10 | 70 | 13.90 | 87.80 |
| 2005 | 286678 | 1404428 | 306484 | 14.40 | 70.30 | 15.30 | 108.70 |
| 2006 | 283221 | 1407263 | 312874 | 14.10 | 70.20 | 15.60 | 112.40 |
| 2007 | 281079 | 1409667 | 319631 | 14 | 70.10 | 15.90 | 115.10 |
| 2008 | 281081 | 1417938 | 326847 | 13.90 | 70 | 16.10 | 117.10 |
| 2009 | 284054 | 1414279 | 334029 | 14 | 69.60 | 16.40 | 118 |
| 2010 | 287275 | 1421436 | 338265 | 14.03 | 69.44 | 16.53 | 117.75 |
| 2012 | 294149 | 1416347 | 345000 | 14.31 | 68.91 | 16.78 | 117.29 |
| 2014 | 301053 | 1399926 | 360106 | 14.61 | 67.92 | 17.47 | 119.62 |
| 2016 | 306390 | 1377696 | 380102 | 14.84 | 66.74 | 18.41 | 124.06 |
| 2018 | 310677 | 1354941 | 401262 | 15.03 | 65.55 | 19.41 | 129.16 |
| 2019 | 313706 | 1354148 | 413054 | 15.08 | 65.07 | 19.85 | 131.67 |
| 2020 | 315802 | 1356055 | 424004 | 15.10 | 65.17 | 19.88 | 134.26 |
Figure SE02-3: Annual population growth in Slovenia, 1995-2020
Sources:
SI-STAT, 2021 (9. 11. 2021)
| Total[%] | 0-14 years[%] | 15-64 years[%] | 65 + years[%] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | -0.10 | -2.20 | -0.10 | 3.40 |
| 2000 | 0.20 | -2.60 | 0.50 | 2.20 |
| 2005 | 0.20 | -1.40 | 0.10 | 2.20 |
| 2010 | 0.72 | 1.13 | 0.51 | 1.27 |
| 2015 | 0.09 | 1.08 | -0.77 | 2.58 |
| 2019 | 0.68 | 0.98 | -0.06 | 2.94 |
| 2020 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 2.65 |
Figure SE02-4: Migration increase of citizens and foreigners in Slovenia, 1995-2020
Sources:
SI-STAT, 2020 (9. 11. 2021)
| Immigrant citizens[1000] | Emigrant citizens[1000] | Foreign immigrants [1000] | Foreign emigrants[1000] | Migratory growth[per 1000 inhabit.] | Internal migration[1000] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 5.88 | -3.37 | 3.69 | -2.60 | 1.30 | 25.74 |
| 1996 | 9.50 | -2.99 | 8.00 | -2.18 | 3.30 | 28.66 |
| 1997 | 7.89 | -5.45 | 6.80 | -4.64 | 1.20 | 29.31 |
| 1998 | 4.60 | -6.71 | 3.75 | -6.00 | -1.10 | 30.11 |
| 1999 | 4.94 | -2.61 | 3.58 | -1.64 | 1.20 | 30.51 |
| 2000 | 6.19 | -3.57 | 5.25 | -2.01 | 1.30 | 29.78 |
| 2001 | 7.80 | -4.81 | 6.77 | -3.37 | 1.50 | 30.97 |
| 2002 | 9.13 | -7.27 | 7.70 | -4.65 | 0.90 | 34.87 |
| 2003 | 9.28 | -5.87 | 8.01 | -3.98 | 1.70 | 27.84 |
| 2004 | 10.17 | -8.27 | 8.60 | -6.00 | 1 | 30.22 |
| 2005 | 15.04 | -8.61 | 13.29 | -6.53 | 3.20 | 32.20 |
| 2006 | 20.02 | -13.75 | 18.25 | -11.05 | 3.10 | 38.50 |
| 2007 | 29.19 | -14.94 | 27.50 | -11.77 | 7.10 | 38.58 |
| 2008 | 30.69 | -12.11 | 28.06 | -7.34 | 9.20 | 106.25 |
| 2009 | 30.30 | -18.79 | 27.39 | -15.07 | 5.60 | 96.60 |
| 2010 | 15.42 | -15.94 | 12.71 | -12.03 | -0.30 | 106.55 |
| 2011 | 14.08 | -12.02 | 10.77 | -7.35 | 1 | 107.99 |
| 2012 | 15.02 | -14.38 | 12.28 | -6.19 | 0.30 | 112.67 |
| 2013 | 13.87 | -13.38 | 11.62 | -5.60 | 0.20 | 113.39 |
| 2014 | 13.85 | -14.34 | 11.31 | -6.21 | -0.20 | 113.10 |
| 2015 | 15.42 | -14.91 | 12.67 | -6.26 | 0.20 | 108.94 |
| 2016 | 16.62 | -15.57 | 13.76 | -6.75 | 0.50 | 110.46 |
| 2017 | 18.81 | -17.56 | 15.52 | -7.68 | 0.60 | 112.36 |
| 2018 | 28.46 | -13.53 | 24.10 | -6.93 | 7.20 | 103.96 |
| 2019 | 31.32 | -15.11 | 27.56 | -8.51 | 7.80 | 98.79 |
| 2020 | 36.11 | -17.75 | 36.11 | -17.75 | 18.37 | 140.22 |
Figure SE02-5: Net migration in the EU-27 and the United Kingdom
Sources:
EUROSTAT, 2021 (9. 11. 2021)
| 2000[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2005[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2006[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2007[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2008[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2019[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | 2020[no. persons/1000 inhabitants] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | 2.40 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 2.90 | 3.90 | 5.70 | 0 |
| Luxembourg | 7.90 | 13.20 | 11.40 | 12.60 | 15.90 | 19.70 | 13.70 |
| Cyprus | 5.70 | 19.20 | 11.30 | 9.50 | 4.60 | 13.70 | 9 |
| Ireland | 8.40 | 16 | 15.60 | 10.70 | 0.40 | 12.20 | 8.50 |
| Slovenia | 1.40 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 7.10 | 9.20 | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| Sweden | 2.80 | 3 | 5.60 | 5.90 | 6.10 | 9.50 | 5 |
| Netherlands | 3.60 | -1.40 | -1.60 | -0.10 | 1.90 | 7.20 | 3.90 |
| Belgium | 1.40 | 4.70 | 5.10 | 5.90 | 5.60 | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| Austria | 2.20 | 6.10 | 3 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| Denmark | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 4.60 | 2.90 | 3 |
| Malta | 2.30 | 4 | 5.30 | 4.20 | 5.90 | 41.70 | 3 |
| France | 2.80 | 3 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Finland | 0.50 | 1.70 | 2 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| Spain | 9.70 | 14.90 | 13.80 | 15.70 | 9.20 | 8.40 | 1.30 |
| Estonia | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 3.10 | 0.90 |
| Czech Republic | 0.60 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 8.20 | 6.90 | 4.10 | 0.70 |
| Lithuania | -5.80 | -2.60 | -1.40 | -1.50 | -2.30 | 0 | 0.60 |
| Slovakia | -4.10 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| Portugal | 4.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 0.20 |
| Germany | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| EU-27 | 1.50 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 3 | 2 | -0.70 |
| Poland | -10.60 | -0.30 | -0.90 | -0.50 | -0.40 | -0.40 | -3.10 |
| Greece | 2.70 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 3.20 | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| Hungary | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.30 | -4 |
| Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.20 | -0.10 | -7 | -5 |
| Croatia | -4.40 | -5.40 | |||||
| Italy | 0.90 | 5.20 | 6.40 | 8.40 | 7.30 | -2.90 | -6.50 |
| Romania | -0.20 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0 | 0.10 | -4.40 | -7.40 |
| Latvia | -2.30 | -0.20 | -1.10 | -0.30 | -1.10 | -6.40 | -7.60 |
Figure SE02-6: Projection of the population in Slovenia by 2100
Sources:
Eurostat, 2021 (25. 08. 2021)
| Projection of population[number] | |
|---|---|
| 2019 | 2080908 |
| 2020 | 2095314 |
| 2025 | 2114603 |
| 2030 | 2106316 |
| 2035 | 2094654 |
| 2040 | 2081622 |
| 2045 | 2065380 |
| 2050 | 2043751 |
| 2055 | 2017464 |
| 2060 | 1989404 |
| 2065 | 1952358 |
| 2070 | 1938253 |
| 2075 | 1917972 |
| 2080 | 1902751 |
| 2085 | 1893268 |
| 2090 | 1889004 |
| 2095 | 1888128 |
| 2100 | 1888364 |
Methodology
Date of data source summarization