According to the short-term projection, ESR emissions in 2025 were 0.6% higher than actual emissions in 2024. The difference can be attributed mainly to the industry and transport sectors, and to a lesser extent to the electricity and heat production and consumer goods sectors. Compared to the annual target for 2025 under Regulation (EU) 2023/857, emissions were higher by 318 kt CO2 eq. or 3.1%, and compared to the indicative annual value from the NECP 2024, they were higher by 934 kt CO2 eq. or 9.7%.

According to the projection based on existing measures, total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will remain at a level similar to today's until 2030 and will then begin to decline. Under the projection that includes additional measures, however, emissions will decrease dramatically – by 35% by 2030 and by 88% by 2050. The projections indicate that, with the intensive implementation of measures, it is possible to achieve the targets set for reducing total GHG emissions, as well as emissions from sources not covered by the Emissions Trading System (ETS).

In 2024, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from sources covered by Regulation (EU) 2023/857 increased by 1.8% compared to the previous year. Nevertheless, they remained 0.4% (41 kt CO₂ eq) below the annual target set under the Regulation. The National Energy and Climate Plan from 2024 (NECP 2024) sets a more ambitious 2030 target for reducing non-ETS emissions than the EU Regulation. A comparison with the indicative trajectory towards this target, starting in 2021, shows that emissions were 5 percentage points above the trajectory in 2024.

In 2024, taking into account only the production of energy from RES in Slovenia, Slovenia achieved a 24.6% share of RES in gross final energy consumption. To achieve a binding 25% national target share of RES under the Directive 2009/28/EC, Slovenia purchased the missing production from RES. The share in heating and cooling as well as the share in transport sector, are still significantly lagging behind the planned development.

Primary energy consumption amounted to 6,297 ktoe in 2024 and increased by 3.8% compared to the previous year. The increase, which occurred for all fuels, was due to both higher final energy consumption and increased electricity production. Primary energy consumption was 120 ktoe (- 1.9%) lower than the indicative target value for 2024 from the National Energy and Climate Plan from 2024 (NECP 2024). The indicative annual value was thus achieved.