Total greenhouse gas emissions are projected to remain at similar levels as today until 2030 under projection with existing measures, then decline. Under projection with additional measures emissions will decline faster. By 35% by 2030 and by 88% by 2050. Projections show that with intensive implementation of measures, it is possible to achieve the set targets.

The intensity of GHG emissions from fuels and energy in transport in Slovenia was 4.7% lower than the baseline in 2021, which is 1.3 percentage points below the target reduction. Although the intensity is decreasing, the pace is too slow. The largest contribution to reducing intensity comes from the blending of biofuels. In the EU, the largest reductions were achieved by Sweden and Finland, along with 11 other countries that achieved reductions of 6% or more.

The share of renewable sources in total energy consumption was 18.4% in 2024. It remained unchanged compared to the previous year. The growth of RES is very slow and insufficient to achieve the targets in this area.

Slovenia’s import dependence has been lower in recent years, amounting to 48% in 2023. Further increases in energy efficiency, the use of renewable sources, and the diversification of supply sources are essential. Slovenia is completely import-dependent for liquid fuels and natural gas. With regard to natural gas, Slovenia is import-dependent on two countries, Austria and Algeria. In the past, gas reaching Austria mostly came from Russia, but in recent years the supply structure has become more diversified due to the war and sanctions.

F-gas emissions from leaks from stationary installations increased again in 2024 due to a significantly higher use of refilled refrigerants. This represented a significant deviation from the indicative target for reducing emissions from the use of F-gases under the EU F-gases Regulation. Compared to 2015, F-gas emissions from leaks were 8% lower in 2024, while, according to the F-gases Regulation, they should have been lower by 69%.