KAZALCI OKOLJA

Key message
Neutral

Heatwaves have a significant impact on public health as they can lead to increased mortality. The most vulnerable groups include elderly individuals and patients with chronic conditions such as cardiovascular diseases, respiratory illnesses, mental disorders, diabetes, and obesity. An analysis of the association between heatwaves and increased or decreased mortality (time series from 2020 to 2022) was conducted based on diagnoses (all causes, cardiovascular diseases), gender, and age group (all age groups and those aged 75 and older). The results were analyzed for three climatic regions in Slovenia: continental climate, transitional climate, and Mediterranean climate.
In the continental climate region, the analysis revealed a statistically significant increase in mortality during heatwaves, particularly for all causes of death and among males for all causes of death. For the transitional and Mediterranean climate regions, the time series did not show a statistically significant increase or decrease in mortality during heatwaves for any of the studied variables.
 


Charts

Figure ZD20-1: Climate regions in Slovenia
Sources:

Slovenian Environment Agency, 2021, National Institute of Public Health, 2021 (10. 11. 2021)

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Figure ZD20-2: Increased / decreased number of deaths during heatwaves, time series study (2020-2022), expressed in percent (%), due to diagnosis, gender and old aged (more than 75 years old), for Favorite mediterranean climate
Sources:

Slovenian Environment Agency (heatwave: EHF) 2023; NIPH (Mortality database) 2020, 2021, 2022 (2023)

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all, all causes[%] man, all causes[%] woman, all causes[%] aged 75+ years[%] circulatory diseases[%]
cause of death 6 11 2 7 -4
Figure ZD20-3: Increased / decreased number of deaths during heatwaves, time series study (2020-2022), expressed in percent (%), due to diagnosis, gender and old aged (more than 75 years old), for Favored continental climate
Sources:

Slovenian Environment Agency (heatwave: EHF) 2023; NIPH (Mortality database) 2020, 2021, 2022 (2023)

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all, all causes[%] man, all causes[%] woman, all causes[%] aged 75+ years[%] circulatory diseases[%]
cause of death 7 12 2 1 -2
Figure ZD20-4: Increased / decreased number of deaths during heatwaves, time series study (2020-2022), expressed in percent (%), due to diagnosis, gender and old aged (more than 75 years old), for Humid climate of hilly world and Temperate climate of hilly world
Sources:

Slovenian Environment Agency (heatwave: EHF) 2023; NIPH (Mortality database) 2020, 2021, 2022 (2023)

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all, all causes[%] man, all causes[%] woman, all causes[%] aged 75+ years[%] circulatory diseases[%]
cause of death 2 8 -4 3 -2
Figure ZD20-5: Projected change in number and length of heatwaves in Slovenia and associated reliability of change, Slovenia, 2011-2040
Sources:

Ocena podnebnih sprememb v Sloveniji do konca 21. stoletja, 2018 (10. 11. 2021)

Note:

Heatwaves are defined using EHF (Excess Heat Factor, left) and using HWMId (Heat-wave Magnitude Index Daily, right). Events from May to September are considered.

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Methodology