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[PB08] Projections of Greenhouse Gass Emissions
State

Key message
Bad

Total greenhouse gas emissions will increase in Slovenia up to 2020 (in relation to 2015 data). After 2020, levels will decrease. GHG emissions not included in the ETS are according to current projections up 2020 significantly lower than the target values.

Charts

Figure PB08-1: GHG emissions 1986-2015, projections with measures up to 2035, Slovenia
Sources:

Jožef Stefan Institute , 2017

Show data
Current emission trend Emission projections Emission projections Kyoto protocol target Emissions required to achieve target (sinks included)
1986 20370.64
1990 18592.65
1991 17290.72
1992 17388.03
1993 17586.29
1994 17981.44
1995 18718.98
1996 19390.85 0
1997 19742.21 0
1998 19477.16 0
1999 18851.34 0
2000 19090.92 0
2001 19983.77 0
2002 20135.47 0
2003 19850.76 0
2004 20179.21 0
2005 20496.04 0
2006 20670.68 0
2007 20803.34 0
2008 21496.23 0 18726 20046
2009 19571.52 0 18726 20046
2010 19601.36 0 18726 20046
2011 19609.47 0 18726 20046
2012 19038.97 0 18726 20046
2013 18338.66 0
2014 16608.18 0
2015 16829.03 16688.88 0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020 17882.32 0
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025 17165.12 0
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030 16251.26 0
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035 15285.56 0
Figure PB08-2: GHG emissions 2005-2015, GHG projections 2020- 2035 for sources not included in the EU-ETS and other sources according to the target trajectory for the period 2013-2020
Show data
Emissions included in the EU-ETS Emissions included in the EU-ETS-projections with measures Emissions included in the EU-ETS-projections with additional measures Indicative trend of reduced emission allowances granted Emissions not included in the EU-ETS Emissions not included in the EU-ETS-projections with measures Emissions not included in the EU-ETS-projections with additional measures Target trajectory fot nonETS emissions
2005 8752.13 11745.52
2006 8850.55 11821.84
2007 9052.81 11751.99
2008 8753.42 12744.45
2009 7933.72 11639.38
2010 8000.45 11602.57
2011 7938.97 11672.07
2012 7579.23 11461.05
2013 7389.98 7534.93 10950.86 12323.92
2014 6115.29 7396.61 10495.04 12353.72
2015 6109.59 6026.85 7258.28 10721.57 10662.03 12383.52
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020 7152.31 6566.63 10730.02 12532.53
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025 6732.65 10432.47
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030 6173.45 10077.81
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035 5849.98 9435.58
Figure PB08-3: GHG emission 2005-2015 and emission projections up to 2035, per sectors not included in the EU-ETS, Slovenia
Show data
Total Waste Agriculture Solvents Industrial processes Non energy sectors Other sectors Transport Industry (Fuel combustion) Production of electricity and heat + Fugitive emissions Energy
2005 8752.13 0 0 0 973.35 973.35 0 0 1395.26 6383.53 7778.79
2006 8850.55 0 0 0 997.35 997.35 0 0 1416.25 6436.95 7853.20
2007 9052.81 0 0 0 973.32 973.32 0 0 1397.86 6681.63 8079.49
2008 8753.42 0 0 0 888.79 888.79 0 0 1371.74 6492.89 7864.64
2009 7933.72 0 0 0 584.93 584.93 0 0 1154.50 6194.29 7348.79
2010 8000.45 0 0 0 565.61 565.61 0 0 1134.53 6300.31 7434.84
2011 7938.97 0 0 0 582.57 582.57 0 0 1041.97 6314.43 7356.40
2012 7579.23 0 0 0 571.45 571.45 0 0 997.17 6010.61 7007.78
2013 7389.98 0 0 0 654.61 654.61 0 0 1038.92 5696.45 6735.37
2014 6115.29 0 0 0 681.81 681.81 0 0 1054.52 4378.97 5433.48
2015 6109.59 0 0 0 633.30 633.30 0 0 1000.03 4476.26 5476.29
2020 7152.31 0 0 0 811.61 811.61 0 0 1140.34 5200.36 6340.70
2025 6732.65 0 0 0 899.54 899.54 0 0 1269.34 4563.77 5833.11
2030 6173.45 0 0 0 926.16 926.16 0 0 1385.71 3861.57 5247.29
2035 5849.98 0 0 0 927.88 927.88 0 0 1485.28 3436.82 4922.10
Figure PB08-4: GHG emission 2005-2015 and emission projections up to 2035, per sectors included in the EU-ETS, projections with measures, Slovenia
Sources:

Jožef Stefan Institute, 2017

Show data
Total Waste Agriculture Industrial processes Non energy sectors Other sectors Transport Industry (Fuel combustion) Production of electricity and heat + Fugitive emissions Energy
2005 11745.52 788.06 1774.29 443.41 3005.76 2632.04 4428.75 1089.87 589.11 8739.76
2006 11821.84 748.52 1768.61 471.11 2988.23 2410.23 4647.85 1172.12 603.41 8833.61
2007 11751.99 700.72 1823.95 501.89 3026.55 1962.04 5229.03 947.22 587.15 8725.44
2008 12744.45 597.79 1739.62 443.57 2780.97 2328.82 6157.83 945.85 530.99 9963.49
2009 11639.38 550.75 1753.24 414.27 2718.26 2259.53 5325.89 801.86 533.84 8921.12
2010 11602.57 549.04 1720.16 435.06 2704.27 2291.94 5265.51 781.55 559.31 8898.31
2011 11672.07 559.21 1696.47 436.24 2691.92 2030.02 5699.41 676.30 574.43 8980.15
2012 11461.05 537.50 1679.31 473.17 2689.98 1786.76 5773.40 652.94 557.98 8771.07
2013 10950.86 533.37 1662.50 450.88 2646.75 1704.87 5459.85 604.94 534.46 8304.11
2014 10495.04 502.97 1707.55 461.19 2671.71 1416.42 5385.00 595.39 426.53 7823.33
2015 10721.57 520.81 1743.51 538.96 2803.28 1513.95 5358.94 591.09 454.30 7918.29
2020 w. measures 10730.02 447.58 1904.24 498.13 2849.95 1357.29 5414.95 556.21 551.62 7880.07
2020 w. add. measures 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2025 w. measures 10432.47 401.75 1913.00 414.30 2729.06 1196.02 5388.54 608.00 510.84 7703.41
2025 w. add. measures 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2030 w. measures 10077.81 369.78 1921.41 345.21 2636.41 1073.09 5221.49 666.24 480.58 7441.40
2030 w. add. measures 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2035 w. measures 9435.58 344.63 1921.40 299.78 2565.80 993.89 4731.23 701.00 443.65 6869.77
2035 w. add. measures 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Methodology

Date of data source summarization
Last modified
27.11.2018
Author(s)

Matjaž Česen,Jožef Stefan Institut

Matevž Pušnik, Jožef Stefan Institut