[PB08] Projections of Greenhouse Gass Emissions
[PB08] Projections of Greenhouse Gass Emissions
Key message
Total greenhouse gas emissions will increase in Slovenia up to 2020 (in relation to 2015 data). After 2020, levels will decrease. GHG emissions not included in the ETS are according to current projections up 2020 significantly lower than the target values.
Charts
Figure PB08-1: GHG emissions 1986-2015, projections with measures up to 2035, Slovenia
Sources:
Jožef Stefan Institute , 2017
| Current emission trend | Emission projections | Emission projections | Kyoto protocol target | Emissions required to achieve target (sinks included) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | 20370.64 | ||||
| 1990 | 18592.65 | ||||
| 1991 | 17290.72 | ||||
| 1992 | 17388.03 | ||||
| 1993 | 17586.29 | ||||
| 1994 | 17981.44 | ||||
| 1995 | 18718.98 | ||||
| 1996 | 19390.85 | 0 | |||
| 1997 | 19742.21 | 0 | |||
| 1998 | 19477.16 | 0 | |||
| 1999 | 18851.34 | 0 | |||
| 2000 | 19090.92 | 0 | |||
| 2001 | 19983.77 | 0 | |||
| 2002 | 20135.47 | 0 | |||
| 2003 | 19850.76 | 0 | |||
| 2004 | 20179.21 | 0 | |||
| 2005 | 20496.04 | 0 | |||
| 2006 | 20670.68 | 0 | |||
| 2007 | 20803.34 | 0 | |||
| 2008 | 21496.23 | 0 | 18726 | 20046 | |
| 2009 | 19571.52 | 0 | 18726 | 20046 | |
| 2010 | 19601.36 | 0 | 18726 | 20046 | |
| 2011 | 19609.47 | 0 | 18726 | 20046 | |
| 2012 | 19038.97 | 0 | 18726 | 20046 | |
| 2013 | 18338.66 | 0 | |||
| 2014 | 16608.18 | 0 | |||
| 2015 | 16829.03 | 16688.88 | 0 | ||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | 17882.32 | 0 | |||
| 2021 | |||||
| 2022 | |||||
| 2023 | |||||
| 2024 | |||||
| 2025 | 17165.12 | 0 | |||
| 2026 | |||||
| 2027 | |||||
| 2028 | |||||
| 2029 | |||||
| 2030 | 16251.26 | 0 | |||
| 2031 | |||||
| 2032 | |||||
| 2033 | |||||
| 2034 | |||||
| 2035 | 15285.56 | 0 |
Figure PB08-2: GHG emissions 2005-2015, GHG projections 2020- 2035 for sources not included in the EU-ETS and other sources according to the target trajectory for the period 2013-2020
Show data| Emissions included in the EU-ETS | Emissions included in the EU-ETS-projections with measures | Emissions included in the EU-ETS-projections with additional measures | Indicative trend of reduced emission allowances granted | Emissions not included in the EU-ETS | Emissions not included in the EU-ETS-projections with measures | Emissions not included in the EU-ETS-projections with additional measures | Target trajectory fot nonETS emissions | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 8752.13 | 11745.52 | ||||||
| 2006 | 8850.55 | 11821.84 | ||||||
| 2007 | 9052.81 | 11751.99 | ||||||
| 2008 | 8753.42 | 12744.45 | ||||||
| 2009 | 7933.72 | 11639.38 | ||||||
| 2010 | 8000.45 | 11602.57 | ||||||
| 2011 | 7938.97 | 11672.07 | ||||||
| 2012 | 7579.23 | 11461.05 | ||||||
| 2013 | 7389.98 | 7534.93 | 10950.86 | 12323.92 | ||||
| 2014 | 6115.29 | 7396.61 | 10495.04 | 12353.72 | ||||
| 2015 | 6109.59 | 6026.85 | 7258.28 | 10721.57 | 10662.03 | 12383.52 | ||
| 2016 | ||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||
| 2020 | 7152.31 | 6566.63 | 10730.02 | 12532.53 | ||||
| 2021 | ||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6732.65 | 10432.47 | ||||||
| 2026 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ||||||||
| 2028 | ||||||||
| 2029 | ||||||||
| 2030 | 6173.45 | 10077.81 | ||||||
| 2031 | ||||||||
| 2032 | ||||||||
| 2033 | ||||||||
| 2034 | ||||||||
| 2035 | 5849.98 | 9435.58 |
Figure PB08-3: GHG emission 2005-2015 and emission projections up to 2035, per sectors not included in the EU-ETS, Slovenia
Show data| Total | Waste | Agriculture | Solvents | Industrial processes | Non energy sectors | Other sectors | Transport | Industry (Fuel combustion) | Production of electricity and heat + Fugitive emissions | Energy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 8752.13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 973.35 | 973.35 | 0 | 0 | 1395.26 | 6383.53 | 7778.79 |
| 2006 | 8850.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 997.35 | 997.35 | 0 | 0 | 1416.25 | 6436.95 | 7853.20 |
| 2007 | 9052.81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 973.32 | 973.32 | 0 | 0 | 1397.86 | 6681.63 | 8079.49 |
| 2008 | 8753.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 888.79 | 888.79 | 0 | 0 | 1371.74 | 6492.89 | 7864.64 |
| 2009 | 7933.72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 584.93 | 584.93 | 0 | 0 | 1154.50 | 6194.29 | 7348.79 |
| 2010 | 8000.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 565.61 | 565.61 | 0 | 0 | 1134.53 | 6300.31 | 7434.84 |
| 2011 | 7938.97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 582.57 | 582.57 | 0 | 0 | 1041.97 | 6314.43 | 7356.40 |
| 2012 | 7579.23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 571.45 | 571.45 | 0 | 0 | 997.17 | 6010.61 | 7007.78 |
| 2013 | 7389.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 654.61 | 654.61 | 0 | 0 | 1038.92 | 5696.45 | 6735.37 |
| 2014 | 6115.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 681.81 | 681.81 | 0 | 0 | 1054.52 | 4378.97 | 5433.48 |
| 2015 | 6109.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 633.30 | 633.30 | 0 | 0 | 1000.03 | 4476.26 | 5476.29 |
| 2020 | 7152.31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 811.61 | 811.61 | 0 | 0 | 1140.34 | 5200.36 | 6340.70 |
| 2025 | 6732.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 899.54 | 899.54 | 0 | 0 | 1269.34 | 4563.77 | 5833.11 |
| 2030 | 6173.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 926.16 | 926.16 | 0 | 0 | 1385.71 | 3861.57 | 5247.29 |
| 2035 | 5849.98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 927.88 | 927.88 | 0 | 0 | 1485.28 | 3436.82 | 4922.10 |
Figure PB08-4: GHG emission 2005-2015 and emission projections up to 2035, per sectors included in the EU-ETS, projections with measures, Slovenia
Sources:
Jožef Stefan Institute, 2017
| Total | Waste | Agriculture | Industrial processes | Non energy sectors | Other sectors | Transport | Industry (Fuel combustion) | Production of electricity and heat + Fugitive emissions | Energy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 11745.52 | 788.06 | 1774.29 | 443.41 | 3005.76 | 2632.04 | 4428.75 | 1089.87 | 589.11 | 8739.76 |
| 2006 | 11821.84 | 748.52 | 1768.61 | 471.11 | 2988.23 | 2410.23 | 4647.85 | 1172.12 | 603.41 | 8833.61 |
| 2007 | 11751.99 | 700.72 | 1823.95 | 501.89 | 3026.55 | 1962.04 | 5229.03 | 947.22 | 587.15 | 8725.44 |
| 2008 | 12744.45 | 597.79 | 1739.62 | 443.57 | 2780.97 | 2328.82 | 6157.83 | 945.85 | 530.99 | 9963.49 |
| 2009 | 11639.38 | 550.75 | 1753.24 | 414.27 | 2718.26 | 2259.53 | 5325.89 | 801.86 | 533.84 | 8921.12 |
| 2010 | 11602.57 | 549.04 | 1720.16 | 435.06 | 2704.27 | 2291.94 | 5265.51 | 781.55 | 559.31 | 8898.31 |
| 2011 | 11672.07 | 559.21 | 1696.47 | 436.24 | 2691.92 | 2030.02 | 5699.41 | 676.30 | 574.43 | 8980.15 |
| 2012 | 11461.05 | 537.50 | 1679.31 | 473.17 | 2689.98 | 1786.76 | 5773.40 | 652.94 | 557.98 | 8771.07 |
| 2013 | 10950.86 | 533.37 | 1662.50 | 450.88 | 2646.75 | 1704.87 | 5459.85 | 604.94 | 534.46 | 8304.11 |
| 2014 | 10495.04 | 502.97 | 1707.55 | 461.19 | 2671.71 | 1416.42 | 5385.00 | 595.39 | 426.53 | 7823.33 |
| 2015 | 10721.57 | 520.81 | 1743.51 | 538.96 | 2803.28 | 1513.95 | 5358.94 | 591.09 | 454.30 | 7918.29 |
| 2020 w. measures | 10730.02 | 447.58 | 1904.24 | 498.13 | 2849.95 | 1357.29 | 5414.95 | 556.21 | 551.62 | 7880.07 |
| 2020 w. add. measures | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 w. measures | 10432.47 | 401.75 | 1913.00 | 414.30 | 2729.06 | 1196.02 | 5388.54 | 608.00 | 510.84 | 7703.41 |
| 2025 w. add. measures | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2030 w. measures | 10077.81 | 369.78 | 1921.41 | 345.21 | 2636.41 | 1073.09 | 5221.49 | 666.24 | 480.58 | 7441.40 |
| 2030 w. add. measures | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2035 w. measures | 9435.58 | 344.63 | 1921.40 | 299.78 | 2565.80 | 993.89 | 4731.23 | 701.00 | 443.65 | 6869.77 |
| 2035 w. add. measures | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Methodology
Date of data source summarization