KAZALCI OKOLJA

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Key message
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Trends in annual precipitation are not as obvious as temperature trends, changes between years and regions are significant. According to the climate change projections, annual precipitation will slightly increase while changes in seasonal precipitation will be noticeable. We shall be worried about summer conditions, because less precipitation and higher temperature might result in higher frequency of droughts. In winter, more precipitation may lead to an increase in flooding events.


Charts

Figure PS09-1: Annual precipitation (in mm) in Slovenia in the period 1961-2018
Sources: 

Source: ARSO Meteorological Data Archive, Office of Meteorology, Slovenian Environment Agency, 2019

Show data

Kredarica[mm]

Rateče[mm]

Murska Sobota[mm]

Novo mesto[mm]

Ljubljana[mm]

1961

1983.50

1477.60

785.80

971.60

1371.50

1962

1796.30

1705.80

931.10

1201.50

1605.50

1963

2416

1804.80

831.70

1146.10

1430.60

1964

1738.10

1498.60

866.30

1319.40

1438

1965

2469.10

2289.90

1063.70

1341.40

1839.40

1966

1938.80

1711.10

969.80

1117.10

1300

1967

1835.50

1513.90

729.80

1019.40

1118.60

1968

2004.60

1657.30

612.40

881.50

1332.90

1969

1880.10

1806.70

786.90

1164.60

1444.70

1970

1701.70

1682.40

760.90

1159.70

1395.10

1971

1238.70

1272.70

563.20

854.60

1107.10

1972

1701.60

1691.70

1033.10

1389.70

1606.90

1973

2081.20

1607.40

808.90

837.20

1270.20

1974

1750.30

1358.70

911.80

1250

1412

1975

1999.40

1617.30

804.90

1025.30

1435.10

1976

1703.10

1480.10

750.90

1038.40

1424.60

1977

1699.90

1494.60

718.20

1108.50

1265.40

1978

2095.80

1735.90

676.10

947.70

1469.10

1979

2213.50

1892.30

912.40

1249.90

1474.70

1980

2099.10

1637.60

862

1247.30

1535

1981

1588.30

1312.10

767.50

1199.10

1402.30

1982

2324.60

1532.10

864.20

1181

1418.40

1983

1641.70

1199.90

634.30

944.10

1149.20

1984

2455.60

1496.50

740.60

1295.80

1423.70

1985

1874.10

1493.50

873.50

1257.20

1610.60

1986

2079.20

1191.80

787.60

1213

1265

1987

2799.40

1654.50

981.60

1232

1527.80

1988

2255.90

1191.20

721.90

1114.70

1178.30

1989

1899.90

1318.90

775.70

1228.50

1211.10

1990

2545.30

1552.70

900.40

1191.70

1331.30

1991

2148.20

1440.50

803.60

1140.20

1181.90

1992

2066.40

1482.80

688.90

1263.60

1432.50

1993

1801.50

1446

677.40

1188.10

1176.50

1994

1769.40

1326.60

989.20

1211.10

1406.70

1995

1679.70

1128.60

924

1405

1422.80

1996

1951.40

1596.60

1025.70

1245.10

1446.40

1997

1800.30

1195.40

691.70

990.70

1229.90

1998

2156.90

1400.70

839.10

1041

1359.20

1999

2376.10

1578.90

772.40

1299.40

1500.70

2000

2572.70

1891.10

650.60

826.70

1363.10

2001

2229.60

1439.50

643

1053.40

1327.70

2002

2093.10

1457.90

754.10

1379.20

1287.80

2003

1623.20

1652.50

514.70

886.40

1091

2004

2240.80

1637.50

803.60

1196.50

1696.10

2005

1751.80

1239.20

868.80

1381.60

1403.30

2006

1887

1175.40

852

1084.10

1140.80

2007

1761

1311

817

1114

1196

2008

2180

1911

708

1135

1490

2009

2259

1782

989

1066

1406

2010

2343

1703

876

1278

1798

2011

1497

1293

693

834

998

2012

2204

1700

782

1147

1340

2013

2176

1598

912

1259

1531

2014

2449

2084

1093

1482

1841

2015

1755

1233

690

1084

1106

2016

2295

1666

787

1146

1322

2017

2230

1936

892

1071

1531

2018

1740

1471

787

1106

1377

Figure PS09-2: Timeline of change in annual precipitation in Slovenia over the 21st century
Figure PS09-3: Projected change in annual, winter and summer precipitation in Slovenia the associated reliability of change
Figure PS09-4: Projected change in annual and summer precipitation in Europe, in period 2071-2100 (in %)
Chart note: 

Projected changes in annual (left) and summer (right) precipitation (%) in the period 2071-2100 compared to the baseline period 1971-2000 for the forcing scenario RCP 8.5. Model simulations are based on the multi-model ensemble average of RCM simulations from the EURO-CORDEX initiative.



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